By: Chad Williams Chairman & Founder
As everyone knows by now, the price of gold has reached all time highs. The rise has been relentless. It’s broad based, global. The buyers are strong. Retail demand is good, but that’s not the major source of the buying. It’s central banks and large institutions. Feels almost like the most powerful buyers in the world have all agreed to buy gold. The wave has been stunning. It certainly feels different this time.
The USD price of gold is a measurement of the health of the US financial system. What we are witnessing is the steady erosion of the power of the US. The transition away from the US to other jurisdictions, notably China. It’s happened to every super-power in history: Britain, France, Spain, and so on. There will be corrections of course: the price of gold won’t just go up. At the time of writing this article, the technical charts are flashing overbought in bullion and just about every gold stock. However, any correction will simply be a buying opportunity. There is no stopping this bullion train for many years.
Silver has also performed well. Silver is not really a reserve commodity since it’s simply too bulky to store per unit value, so silver’s price moves appear to be thinner in demand.
Here we see substantial retail buying. That’s OK! No surprise there. Silver is just doing what it should be doing. Without doubt, the silver:gold ratio will get closer to the usual 65:1 rather than >100:1 over the past year. Silver just needs some time to catch up. Like the famous turtle, it will beat the golden rabbit at some point. Patience is required.
Copper and uranium have also done very well. No surprise there. Same can be said about rare earth companies and now even lithium has joined the party.
We continue to believe that virtually every mined commodity will appreciate in value over the next 5 years or so. Currency depreciations will certainly explain a good chunk of the price appreciations, but the biggest factors are that capital investment/ exploration spending have not been where they should have been for
50 years. Permitting new projects is nearly impossible. And don’t forget that the entire global mining industry is understaffed. And has been so for decades. None of these issues can be solved overnight. Enjoy the wave of higher mineral prices for many years. It’s a tsunami.